Module 1: Technical Analysis Foundations
Module 2: Advanced Chart Analysis
Module 3: Technical Indicators & Oscillators
Module 4: Advanced Market Analysis Methodologies
Module 5: Practical Application & Trading Systems
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Final Exam: Intermediate Course Technical Analysis Mastery

Chapter 3: Price Action Fundamentals

Module 1: Technical Analysis Foundations

Chapter 3: Price Action Fundamentals

Introduction

Welcome to Chapter 3 of our technical analysis journey! In this chapter, we will explore the fundamental concepts of price action trading, one of the most powerful approaches to analyzing and trading the forex market.

Price action trading focuses on the movement of price itself, rather than relying on indicators or oscillators. It is often described as the “purest” form of technical analysis because it concentrates on what matters most: the actual price movement on your charts. By understanding price action, you’ll be able to read the “language” of the market directly, without the delay or distortion that can sometimes come from indicators.

By the end of this chapter, you will understand how to use price as your primary indicator, identify trends through price movement, recognize support and resistance through price action, analyze market structure, interpret candlestick patterns, and apply price action confirmation techniques.

Understanding Price as the Primary Indicator

In technical analysis, price is the ultimate indicator. While there are hundreds of technical indicators available, they all derive their values from price data. By focusing directly on price, you eliminate the lag that comes with most indicators and get the most current information about market sentiment.

Why Price Is the Most Important Factor

  1. Price reflects all known information
  • According to the efficient market hypothesis, all known information about a currency pair is already reflected in its price
  • This includes economic data, geopolitical events, and market sentiment
  1. Price shows actual supply and demand
  • Price rises when buying pressure exceeds selling pressure
  • Price falls when selling pressure exceeds buying pressure
  • Price moves sideways when buying and selling pressures are balanced
  1. Price is real-time
  • Unlike indicators that are calculated based on historical price data, price itself shows what’s happening right now
  • This eliminates the lag that comes with most indicators
  1. Price is universal
  • All traders see the same price (allowing for minor differences between brokers)
  • This creates a level playing field for analysis

The Psychology Behind Price Movement

Understanding the psychology driving price movement is crucial for price action trading:

  1. Fear and greed cycles
  • Greed drives prices up as traders chase momentum
  • Fear drives prices down as traders rush to exit positions
  • These emotional cycles create recognizable patterns on charts
  1. Smart money vs. retail traders
  • Large institutional traders (“smart money”) often take positions opposite to the majority of retail traders
  • Price action can reveal where smart money is positioning
  1. Market memory
  • Price tends to react to levels where it has reacted before
  • This creates recurring support and resistance levels
  1. Crowd psychology
  • Markets move in trends because traders tend to follow the crowd
  • Reversals occur when the crowd sentiment shifts

By understanding these psychological factors, you can better interpret what price action is telling you about market sentiment.

Trend Identification Through Price Movement

One of the most important skills in price action trading is the ability to identify trends based solely on price movement. While indicators can help confirm trends, price action provides the most direct and current information about trend direction.

Price-Based Trend Definition

In price action trading, trends are defined by the pattern of highs and lows:

  1. Uptrend: A series of higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL)
  • Each peak is higher than the previous peak
  • Each valley is higher than the previous valley
  • This shows increasing buying pressure
  1. Downtrend: A series of lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL)
  • Each peak is lower than the previous peak
  • Each valley is lower than the previous valley
  • This shows increasing selling pressure
  1. Sideways/Ranging Market: No clear pattern of higher highs and higher lows or lower highs and lower lows
  • Peaks and valleys occur at roughly the same levels
  • This shows balanced buying and selling pressure

Swing Highs and Swing Lows

Swing highs and swing lows are the building blocks of trend analysis in price action trading:

  1. Swing High: A peak formed when a price bar (or candlestick) has lower highs on both sides
  • Represents a temporary ceiling where selling pressure overcame buying pressure
  1. Swing Low: A valley formed when a price bar (or candlestick) has higher lows on both sides
  • Represents a temporary floor where buying pressure overcame selling pressure

To identify swing highs and lows:

  • Look for at least one bar on each side with a lower high (for swing highs)
  • Look for at least one bar on each side with a higher low (for swing lows)
  • The more bars on each side, the more significant the swing point

Trend Strength Assessment

Not all trends are created equal. Here’s how to assess trend strength using price action:

  1. Slope of the trend
  • Steeper slopes indicate stronger trends
  • Gradual slopes indicate weaker trends
  1. Size of candles/bars
  • Larger candles in the trend direction suggest stronger momentum
  • Smaller candles suggest weakening momentum
  1. Pullback behavior
  • Shallow pullbacks that quickly resume the trend indicate strength
  • Deep pullbacks that take time to resume the trend indicate weakness
  1. Swing point progression
  • In strong uptrends, each higher high is significantly higher than the previous one
  • In strong downtrends, each lower low is significantly lower than the previous one

Trend Transitions

Trends don’t last forever. Here’s how to identify potential trend changes using price action:

  1. Break of structure
  • In an uptrend: Formation of a lower low (breaking the pattern of higher lows)
  • In a downtrend: Formation of a higher high (breaking the pattern of lower highs)
  1. Failure swings
  • In an uptrend: Failure to make a new higher high followed by a break of the most recent higher low
  • In a downtrend: Failure to make a new lower low followed by a break of the most recent lower high
  1. Momentum shifts
  • Decreasing candle size in the trend direction
  • Increasing candle size against the trend direction
  1. Consolidation after a trend
  • Price moving sideways after a strong trend often precedes a reversal
  • The longer the consolidation, the more significant the potential reversal

Support and Resistance Through Price Action

Support and resistance are fundamental concepts in all forms of technical analysis, but price action traders have specific ways of identifying and trading these levels without relying on indicators.

Price Action-Based Support and Resistance

In price action trading, support and resistance are identified through actual price behavior:

  1. Swing points
  • Swing highs often become resistance when approached from below
  • Swing lows often become support when approached from above
  1. Rejection candles
  • Long wicks showing rejection from a level
  • The longer the wick, the stronger the rejection
  1. Consolidation areas
  • Areas where price moved sideways for a period
  • The longer the consolidation, the more significant the level
  1. Round numbers
  • Prices ending in 00 or 50 (like 1.2000 or 1.2050)
  • These have psychological significance for traders

Types of Support and Resistance in Price Action

Price action traders recognize several types of support and resistance:

  1. Horizontal levels
  • The most common and easily recognized
  • Based on previous swing highs and lows
  1. Dynamic levels
  • Moving levels that change over time
  • Often based on trendlines or moving averages
  1. Diagonal levels
  • Trendlines connecting multiple swing highs or swing lows
  • Represent dynamic support or resistance
  1. Zones rather than exact levels
  • Price rarely respects exact prices
  • Support and resistance are better viewed as zones

Role Reversal

One of the most important concepts in price action trading is role reversal:

  1. Support becoming resistance
  • When price breaks below a support level, that level often becomes resistance when approached from below
  • This occurs because traders who bought at support and didn’t sell are now looking to exit at breakeven
  1. Resistance becoming support
  • When price breaks above a resistance level, that level often becomes support when approached from above
  • This occurs because traders who missed the breakout are waiting to buy on a pullback

Trading Support and Resistance with Price Action

Here’s how price action traders use support and resistance:

  1. Bounces
  • Enter long positions when price bounces off support with a bullish candlestick pattern
  • Enter short positions when price bounces off resistance with a bearish candlestick pattern
  1. Breakouts
  • Enter long positions when price breaks above resistance with strong momentum
  • Enter short positions when price breaks below support with strong momentum
  1. Retests
  • Enter long positions when price retests broken resistance as new support
  • Enter short positions when price retests broken support as new resistance
  1. Confluence
  • Prioritize levels where multiple forms of support or resistance align
  • For example, a horizontal level that also aligns with a trendline

Market Structure Analysis

Market structure analysis is a more advanced form of price action trading that focuses on the overall structure of market movements rather than individual candlesticks or patterns.

What is Market Structure?

Market structure refers to the arrangement of swing highs and swing lows that form the “skeleton” of price movement. By analyzing this structure, traders can identify the current market phase and anticipate potential future movements.

Market Structure Components

The key components of market structure include:

  1. Swing highs and swing lows
  • The building blocks of market structure
  • Connect these points to see the overall structure
  1. Higher highs, higher lows, lower highs, lower lows
  • The relationship between swing points defines the trend
  1. Equal highs and equal lows
  • Areas where price makes multiple attempts at the same level
  • Often indicate strong support/resistance
  1. Structural breaks
  • When price breaks the pattern of highs and lows
  • Signal potential trend changes

Market Structure Phases

Markets typically move through four main phases:

  1. Accumulation
  • Sideways movement after a downtrend
  • Smart money accumulating positions
  • Characterized by equal lows and higher highs
  1. Markup
  • Uptrend phase
  • Characterized by higher highs and higher lows
  • Momentum increases as more traders join the trend
  1. Distribution
  • Sideways movement after an uptrend
  • Smart money distributing (selling) positions
  • Characterized by equal highs and lower lows
  1. Markdown
  • Downtrend phase
  • Characterized by lower highs and lower lows
  • Momentum increases as more traders join the trend

Identifying Structural Shifts

Market structure shifts provide valuable trading opportunities:

  1. Break of market structure (BMS)
  • In an uptrend: When price makes a lower low, breaking the pattern of higher lows
  • In a downtrend: When price makes a higher high, breaking the pattern of lower highs
  1. Change of character (CHoCH)
  • When price behavior changes significantly
  • For example, from large trending candles to small consolidation candles
  1. Shift in momentum
  • When price moves more quickly or slowly than before
  • Often precedes a structural break

Trading Based on Market Structure

Here’s how to use market structure in your trading:

  1. Trend continuation
  • Enter in the trend direction after a pullback respects the market structure
  • For example, enter long when price makes a higher low in an uptrend
  1. Trend reversal
  • Enter against the previous trend after a break of market structure
  • For example, enter short after price makes a lower low in an uptrend
  1. Range trading
  • Trade bounces between structural support and resistance during accumulation or distribution phases
  1. Breakout trading
  • Enter in the direction of the breakout when price breaks out of an accumulation or distribution phase

Candlestick Patterns and Their Significance

Candlestick patterns are a crucial component of price action trading. They provide insights into market psychology and can signal potential reversals or continuations.

Single Candlestick Patterns

These patterns involve just one candlestick but can provide valuable information:

  1. Doji
  • Open and close are at the same or nearly the same price
  • Indicates indecision in the market
  • Significant when appearing after a strong trend
  1. Hammer
  • Small body at the top with a long lower wick
  • Appears in downtrends
  • Indicates rejection of lower prices (potential reversal)
  1. Shooting Star
  • Small body at the bottom with a long upper wick
  • Appears in uptrends
  • Indicates rejection of higher prices (potential reversal)
  1. Marubozu
  • Long body with very small or no wicks
  • Indicates strong conviction in the direction of the candle
  • Bullish when green/white, bearish when red/black
  1. Spinning Top
  • Small body with upper and lower wicks of similar length
  • Indicates indecision
  • Less significant than a doji but still shows uncertainty

Multi-Candlestick Patterns

These patterns involve two or more candlesticks and often provide stronger signals:

  1. Engulfing Patterns
  • Bullish Engulfing: A bearish candle followed by a larger bullish candle that completely “engulfs” the previous candle
  • Bearish Engulfing: A bullish candle followed by a larger bearish candle that completely “engulfs” the previous candle
  1. Harami Patterns
  • Bullish Harami: A large bearish candle followed by a smaller bullish candle contained within the previous candle’s range
  • Bearish Harami: A large bullish candle followed by a smaller bearish candle contained within the previous candle’s range
  1. Morning Star and Evening Star
  • Morning Star: A large bearish candle, followed by a small-bodied candle, followed by a large bullish candle (bullish reversal)
  • Evening Star: A large bullish candle, followed by a small-bodied candle, followed by a large bearish candle (bearish reversal)
  1. Tweezer Tops and Bottoms
  • Tweezer Top: Two or more candles with the same high
  • Tweezer Bottom: Two or more candles with the same low

Candlestick Pattern Context

The context in which a candlestick pattern appears is crucial for its interpretation:

  1. Trend context
  • Reversal patterns are more significant when they appear after a strong trend
  • Continuation patterns are more significant when they appear during a pullback in a trend
  1. Support/resistance context
  • Patterns are more significant when they appear at key support or resistance levels
  • For example, a hammer at support or a shooting star at resistance
  1. Timeframe context
  • Patterns on higher timeframes are more significant than those on lower timeframes
  • Confluence of patterns across multiple timeframes increases significance
  1. Volume context
  • Patterns accompanied by high volume are more significant
  • For example, a bullish engulfing with high volume is a stronger signal than one with low volume

Trading Candlestick Patterns

Here’s how to effectively trade candlestick patterns:

  1. Wait for confirmation
  • Don’t enter immediately when a pattern forms
  • Wait for the next candle to confirm the expected direction
  1. Use appropriate stop loss placement
  • For reversal patterns: Place stops beyond the pattern’s extreme point
  • For continuation patterns: Place stops beyond the pattern’s pullback extreme
  1. Consider risk-reward ratio
  • Don’t take trades with poor risk-reward ratios even if the pattern is valid
  • Aim for at least 1:2 risk-reward (risking 1 to gain 2)
  1. Combine with other price action elements
  • Use patterns in conjunction with trend analysis, support/resistance, and market structure
  • The more confluence factors, the stronger the signal

Price Action Confirmation Techniques

Price action traders use various confirmation techniques to increase the probability of successful trades. These techniques help filter out false signals and identify high-probability setups.

Confirmation Through Multiple Timeframes

One of the most powerful confirmation techniques is to check for alignment across multiple timeframes:

  1. Higher timeframe trend alignment
  • Ensure the trade is in the direction of the higher timeframe trend
  • For example, only take long trades when the daily chart shows an uptrend
  1. Multiple timeframe pattern confluence
  • Look for similar patterns or signals across different timeframes
  • For example, a bullish engulfing on both the 4-hour and 1-hour charts
  1. Higher timeframe support/resistance
  • Confirm that the entry point aligns with support/resistance on higher timeframes
  • This increases the significance of the level

Confirmation Through Price Behavior

The way price behaves after a signal forms can provide important confirmation:

  1. Follow-through candles
  • Strong candles in the expected direction after a pattern forms
  • Indicates conviction in the new direction
  1. Rejection of levels
  • Price quickly moving away from support or resistance after testing it
  • Indicates strong reaction to the level
  1. Momentum comparison
  • Compare the momentum of the move in each direction
  • Stronger momentum in the new direction confirms the signal
  1. Volume confirmation
  • Increasing volume in the direction of the breakout or reversal
  • Decreasing volume during pullbacks in the new trend

Confirmation Through Failed Moves

Sometimes the most powerful signals come from failed moves:

  1. Failed breakouts
  • Price breaks above resistance or below support but quickly reverses
  • Often leads to strong moves in the opposite direction
  1. Spring and upthrust
  • Spring: Price briefly breaks below support then quickly reverses higher
  • Upthrust: Price briefly breaks above resistance then quickly reverses lower
  1. Failure to make new extremes
  • In an uptrend: Failure to make a new higher high
  • In a downtrend: Failure to make a new lower low

Confirmation Through Multiple Signals

The confluence of multiple price action signals greatly increases probability:

  1. Pattern + level + structure
  • A candlestick pattern
  • At a key support/resistance level
  • That aligns with market structure
  1. Inside bar + trend + level
  • An inside bar (a bar completely within the range of the previous bar)
  • In the direction of the trend
  • At a key support/resistance level
  1. Engulfing + pin bar + structure break
  • An engulfing pattern
  • Followed by a pin bar (a bar with a long wick)
  • That breaks the previous market structure

Practical Application: Price Action Trading Strategies

Now let’s explore some practical price action trading strategies that combine the concepts we’ve covered.

The Trend Continuation Strategy

This strategy focuses on entering in the direction of the established trend after a pullback:

  1. Identify the trend
  • Confirm an uptrend (higher highs and higher lows) or downtrend (lower highs and lower lows)
  • Verify the trend on a higher timeframe
  1. Wait for a pullback
  • In an uptrend: Wait for price to pull back to support (previous higher low, trendline, etc.)
  • In a downtrend: Wait for price to pull back to resistance (previous lower high, trendline, etc.)
  1. Look for confirmation
  • Bullish candlestick pattern at support in an uptrend
  • Bearish candlestick pattern at resistance in a downtrend
  1. Enter the trade
  • Enter long after confirmation in an uptrend
  • Enter short after confirmation in a downtrend
  1. Set stop loss and take profit
  • Stop loss: Below the recent swing low (for longs) or above the recent swing high (for shorts)
  • Take profit: At the next significant resistance (for longs) or support (for shorts)

The Breakout Strategy

This strategy focuses on entering when price breaks out of a consolidation pattern:

  1. Identify a consolidation pattern
  • Rectangle, triangle, flag, or pennant
  • The longer the consolidation, the more significant the breakout
  1. Wait for the breakout
  • Price closing beyond the pattern boundary
  • Preferably with increased volume
  1. Look for confirmation
  • Rejection of the broken level when retested
  • Strong momentum in the breakout direction
  1. Enter the trade
  • Enter in the direction of the breakout after confirmation
  • Alternatively, enter on the retest of the broken level
  1. Set stop loss and take profit
  • Stop loss: Below the pattern low for bullish breakouts or above the pattern high for bearish breakouts
  • Take profit: Based on the pattern’s measured move (the height of the pattern projected from the breakout point)

The Reversal Strategy

This strategy focuses on entering when a trend is likely reversing:

  1. Identify a potential reversal point
  • Overextended trend (multiple large candles in one direction)
  • Price approaching major support/resistance
  • Signs of momentum divergence
  1. Look for reversal patterns
  • In a downtrend: Hammer, bullish engulfing, morning star, double bottom
  • In an uptrend: Shooting star, bearish engulfing, evening star, double top
  1. Wait for structure break
  • In a downtrend: Price makes a higher high, breaking the pattern of lower highs
  • In an uptrend: Price makes a lower low, breaking the pattern of higher lows
  1. Enter the trade
  • Enter in the direction of the potential new trend after confirmation
  • Use a smaller position size than for trend continuation trades (higher risk)
  1. Set stop loss and take profit
  • Stop loss: Beyond the extreme point of the reversal pattern
  • Take profit: At the next significant support/resistance level

The Range Trading Strategy

This strategy focuses on trading bounces between support and resistance in a ranging market:

  1. Identify a range
  • Price oscillating between horizontal support and resistance
  • At least two touches of both support and resistance
  1. Wait for price to approach range boundaries
  • Price approaching support from above
  • Price approaching resistance from below
  1. Look for confirmation
  • Bullish candlestick pattern at support
  • Bearish candlestick pattern at resistance
  1. Enter the trade
  • Enter long at support after confirmation
  • Enter short at resistance after confirmation
  1. Set stop loss and take profit
  • Stop loss: Below support for longs or above resistance for shorts
  • Take profit: At the opposite range boundary

Conclusion

Price action trading is a powerful approach that focuses on the most important aspect of the market: price itself. By understanding how to use price as your primary indicator, identify trends through price movement, recognize support and resistance through price action, analyze market structure, interpret candlestick patterns, and apply price action confirmation techniques, you have gained the fundamental skills needed for effective price action trading.

Remember that price action trading is both a science and an art. The scientific part involves understanding the patterns and structures we’ve discussed. The artistic part comes from experience—developing an intuitive feel for the market that can only come with practice and screen time.

In the next chapter, we’ll explore Advanced Candlestick Patterns & Combinations, which will build upon the price action fundamentals you’ve learned here.

Key Terms

  • Price Action: The movement of price on a chart, analyzed without the use of indicators or oscillators.
  • Swing High: A peak formed when a price bar has lower highs on both sides.
  • Swing Low: A valley formed when a price bar has higher lows on both sides.
  • Market Structure: The arrangement of swing highs and swing lows that form the “skeleton” of price movement.
  • Break of Structure: When price breaks the pattern of higher highs and higher lows (in an uptrend) or lower highs and lower lows (in a downtrend).
  • Candlestick Pattern: A specific formation of one or more candlesticks that suggests a particular market sentiment.
  • Confirmation: Additional evidence that supports a trading signal, increasing its probability of success.
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