Chapter 3: Price Action Trading Fundamentals

Chapter 3: Price Action Trading Fundamentals

Introduction

Price action trading is the art of making trading decisions based on the raw movement of price, without relying heavily on indicators or oscillators. While technical indicators can provide valuable insights, they are ultimately derivatives of price and often lag behind actual market movements. Price action trading focuses on interpreting the “language” of the market directly through price movements, creating a more responsive and versatile trading approach.

In this chapter, we’ll explore the fundamental concepts of price action trading, building a foundation that will allow you to read market sentiment more effectively and develop trading strategies based on pure price movements.

The Philosophy of Price Action Trading

Price action trading is built on several core principles:

  1. Price reflects all known information: According to the Efficient Market Hypothesis, all known information is already reflected in price. By analyzing price movements, you’re analyzing the collective decisions of all market participants.
  2. Simplicity leads to clarity: By focusing on price alone, you remove the noise and confusion that can come from multiple conflicting indicators.
  3. Price movement reveals market psychology: The way price moves reveals the psychology of market participants—their fear, greed, confidence, and uncertainty.
  4. History tends to rhyme: While history doesn’t exactly repeat, price patterns tend to recur because human psychology remains relatively constant.

Key Elements of Price Action Analysis

1. Trend Identification

The most fundamental aspect of price action trading is identifying the prevailing trend. Unlike indicator-based methods, pure price action traders identify trends through:

Higher Highs and Higher Lows (Uptrend):

  • Price consistently makes higher swing highs
  • Price consistently makes higher swing lows
  • Each pullback terminates at a higher level than the previous pullback

Lower Highs and Lower Lows (Downtrend):

  • Price consistently makes lower swing highs
  • Price consistently makes lower swing lows
  • Each rally terminates at a lower level than the previous rally

Advanced Trend Analysis:

  • Steepness of the trend (angle of ascent/descent)
  • Consistency of the trend (regularity of swing highs/lows)
  • Volume characteristics during trend development

2. Support and Resistance Identification

Price action traders identify support and resistance through actual price behavior rather than indicators:

Support Levels:

  • Areas where price has reversed from downward to upward movement
  • Zones where buying pressure has overcome selling pressure
  • Often identified by swing lows or areas of price consolidation

Resistance Levels:

  • Areas where price has reversed from upward to downward movement
  • Zones where selling pressure has overcome buying pressure
  • Often identified by swing highs or areas of price consolidation

Dynamic Support and Resistance:

  • Trendlines connecting consecutive swing highs or swing lows
  • Moving averages that have demonstrated price reaction
  • Channels that contain price movement over time

3. Market Structure Analysis

Price action traders pay close attention to market structure—the arrangement of swing highs and lows that reveal the market’s directional bias and potential turning points.

Key Market Structure Elements:

Swing Points:

  • Swing High: A peak with lower highs on both sides
  • Swing Low: A trough with higher lows on both sides

Structure Breaks:

  • Break of Structure (BOS): When price breaks a significant swing high/low
  • Change of Character (CHoCH): When price creates a higher high after a series of lower highs (or vice versa)

Market Structure Shifts:

  • Accumulation: Sideways movement after a downtrend, often preceding an uptrend
  • Distribution: Sideways movement after an uptrend, often preceding a downtrend
  • Re-accumulation: Sideways movement during an uptrend, often preceding continuation
  • Re-distribution: Sideways movement during a downtrend, often preceding continuation

Price Action Patterns

Price action traders recognize specific patterns that frequently lead to predictable outcomes. These patterns are formed by the actual price bars/candles rather than indicator signals.

1. Reversal Patterns

Double Tops and Double Bottoms:

  • Double Top: Price reaches a high, pulls back, then reaches a similar high before declining
  • Double Bottom: Price reaches a low, rebounds, then reaches a similar low before advancing
  • Trading approach: Enter after confirmation of the reversal (break of neckline)

Head and Shoulders:

  • Head and Shoulders Top: Three peaks with the middle peak (head) higher than the two surrounding peaks (shoulders)
  • Head and Shoulders Bottom (Inverse): Three troughs with the middle trough (head) lower than the two surrounding troughs (shoulders)
  • Trading approach: Enter after break of the neckline with target equal to the pattern height

Triple Tops and Triple Bottoms:

  • Similar to double tops/bottoms but with three attempts at breaking through a level
  • Often indicates stronger resistance/support than double tops/bottoms
  • Trading approach: Enter after confirmation with larger targets due to the stronger pattern

2. Continuation Patterns

Flags and Pennants:

  • Short-term consolidation patterns that form after a strong price move
  • Flags: Parallel channels that slope against the prevailing trend
  • Pennants: Triangular consolidations with converging trendlines
  • Trading approach: Enter in the direction of the prior trend when price breaks out of the pattern

Triangles:

  • Symmetrical Triangle: Converging trendlines with similar slopes
  • Ascending Triangle: Horizontal resistance with rising support
  • Descending Triangle: Horizontal support with falling resistance
  • Trading approach: Enter on breakout in the direction of the breakout

Rectangles:

  • Price consolidates between parallel support and resistance levels
  • Trading approach: Enter on breakout with target equal to the height of the rectangle

3. Candlestick Patterns in Price Action Context

While we covered advanced candlestick patterns in the previous chapter, it’s important to understand how they fit within price action trading:

Engulfing Patterns at Structure:

  • Bullish Engulfing at support level or after a downtrend
  • Bearish Engulfing at resistance level or after an uptrend
  • Trading approach: Enter in the direction of the engulfing candle with stop beyond the pattern

Pin Bars (Rejection Candles):

  • Long wick/shadow showing rejection of price level
  • Small body in the opposite direction of the wick
  • Trading approach: Enter in the direction of the rejection with stop beyond the wick

Inside Bars:

  • Candle completely contained within the range of the previous candle
  • Indicates consolidation and potential breakout
  • Trading approach: Enter on break of the mother bar in the direction of the breakout

Advanced Price Action Concepts

1. Order Flow Analysis

Order flow analysis involves understanding how large market participants (institutions, banks) are positioning themselves:

Absorption:

  • Price fails to continue moving despite continued buying/selling pressure
  • Often indicates large players absorbing the orders of retail traders before moving price in the opposite direction
  • Trading approach: Look for price stalling at key levels despite continued momentum

Liquidity Grabs:

  • Sharp price movements that trigger stop losses before reversing
  • Often occur just beyond obvious support/resistance levels
  • Trading approach: Wait for confirmation of reversal after the liquidity grab

Footprint Analysis:

  • Examining the volume at each price level during a move
  • Identifying where significant buying/selling occurred
  • Trading approach: Look for return to these significant levels for potential reactions

2. Smart Money Concepts

Smart Money Concepts (SMC) is an advanced price action methodology focused on tracking institutional order flow:

Fair Value Gaps (FVG):

  • Significant imbalances between buyers and sellers
  • Identified by gaps in price that occur during strong moves
  • Trading approach: Look for price to return to these gaps for potential trades

Breaker Blocks:

  • Support/resistance levels that have been broken and then retested from the opposite side
  • Trading approach: Enter when price retests these levels from the opposite direction

Optimal Trade Entry (OTE):

  • Specific zones where smart money is likely to enter trades
  • Often at the confluence of multiple technical factors
  • Trading approach: Look for reversal signals at these zones

3. Wyckoff Method in Price Action

The Wyckoff Method provides a framework for understanding market cycles through price action:

Accumulation Phase:

  • Range-bound price action after a downtrend
  • Characterized by tests of support and resistance
  • Trading approach: Look for signs of strength before entering long positions

Markup Phase:

  • Rising price with higher highs and higher lows
  • Characterized by strong advances and shallow retracements
  • Trading approach: Buy pullbacks to support in the direction of the trend

Distribution Phase:

  • Range-bound price action after an uptrend
  • Characterized by tests of support and resistance
  • Trading approach: Look for signs of weakness before entering short positions

Markdown Phase:

  • Falling price with lower highs and lower lows
  • Characterized by strong declines and shallow rebounds
  • Trading approach: Sell rallies to resistance in the direction of the trend

Practical Price Action Trading Strategies

1. Trend Continuation Strategy

Setup:

  • Identify the prevailing trend using higher timeframe analysis
  • Wait for a pullback to a key support/resistance level or trendline
  • Look for a reversal candlestick pattern at the pullback level

Entry:

  • Enter when price resumes in the direction of the trend
  • Confirm with increased volume or break of local structure

Stop Loss:

  • Place stop loss beyond the recent swing point
  • Alternative: Place stop beyond the reversal candlestick pattern

Take Profit:

  • Target the previous swing high/low
  • Use measured moves based on the size of the pullback
  • Consider trailing stops to capture extended moves

2. Range Trading Strategy

Setup:

  • Identify a well-defined trading range with clear support and resistance
  • Confirm multiple touches of both support and resistance
  • Look for reversal candlestick patterns at range boundaries

Entry:

  • Enter long near support when bullish reversal patterns appear
  • Enter short near resistance when bearish reversal patterns appear

Stop Loss:

  • Place stop loss beyond the range boundary
  • Alternative: Place stop beyond the reversal candlestick pattern

Take Profit:

  • Target the opposite boundary of the range
  • Consider partial profit-taking at the midpoint of the range

3. Breakout Trading Strategy

Setup:

  • Identify a consolidation pattern (triangle, rectangle, range)
  • Confirm decreasing volume during consolidation
  • Look for increasing volume as price approaches the boundary

Entry:

  • Enter when price breaks beyond the consolidation boundary
  • Confirm with increased volume and sustained movement

Stop Loss:

  • Place stop loss inside the consolidation pattern
  • Alternative: Place stop at the opposite boundary of the pattern

Take Profit:

  • Use measured move targets (pattern height projected from breakout point)
  • Look for previous support/resistance levels as additional targets

Risk Management in Price Action Trading

Effective risk management is crucial for price action trading success:

Position Sizing:

  • Risk a consistent percentage of your account on each trade (typically 1-2%)
  • Calculate position size based on the distance to your stop loss
  • Adjust position size based on trade conviction and setup quality

Stop Loss Placement:

  • Use logical stop levels based on market structure
  • Place stops beyond significant swing points
  • Avoid using arbitrary pip values for stops

Risk-Reward Ratio:

  • Aim for a minimum risk-reward ratio of 1:2
  • Higher-probability setups may justify lower risk-reward ratios
  • Lower-probability setups require higher risk-reward ratios

Practical Exercise: Building a Price Action Trading Plan

  1. Select a currency pair and timeframe that suits your trading style
  2. Identify the current market structure and trend direction
  3. Mark key support and resistance levels
  4. Identify potential trading setups based on price action patterns
  5. Develop specific entry, stop loss, and take profit criteria
  6. Create a trading journal template to track your price action trades
  7. Practice identifying setups without taking trades for at least two weeks
  8. Review and refine your approach based on observed results

Case Study: GBP/USD Price Action Analysis

Let’s analyze a real-world example on the GBP/USD 4-hour chart:

Scenario:

  1. GBP/USD has been in a downtrend on the daily timeframe
  2. Price has formed a range on the 4-hour chart
  3. A bearish engulfing pattern forms at the resistance of the range
  4. Volume increases on the bearish candle

Analysis:

  • The range has formed within the context of a larger downtrend
  • The bearish engulfing at resistance aligns with the higher timeframe trend
  • Increased volume suggests strong selling pressure
  • The pattern forms at a previous support level that has become resistance

Trading approach:

  • Enter short below the low of the engulfing pattern
  • Place stop loss above the high of the pattern
  • Set first target at the midpoint of the range
  • Set final target at the bottom of the range
  • Consider trailing stop after price reaches the midpoint

Conclusion

Price action trading provides a powerful framework for understanding market movements without the lag and confusion often associated with indicators. By focusing on the raw price movement, you develop a deeper understanding of market psychology and positioning. While price action trading requires more experience and judgment than indicator-based approaches, it offers greater flexibility and often earlier signals.

In the next chapter, we’ll explore Naked Chart Trading Techniques, which will build upon these price action fundamentals to develop an even more refined approach to market analysis.

Key Takeaways

  • Price action trading focuses on interpreting raw price movements rather than relying on lagging indicators
  • Market structure analysis reveals the underlying directional bias through swing highs and lows
  • Price patterns form due to recurring market psychology and often lead to predictable outcomes
  • Advanced concepts like order flow and smart money techniques help identify institutional positioning
  • Effective risk management is essential for long-term price action trading success
  • Price action strategies can be applied to trend continuation, range trading, and breakout scenarios